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November 16, 2017
Nearly 51 Million Americans to Travel This Thanksgiving

AAA forecasts highest travel volume in twelve years

OMAHA, NE (November 16, 2017) AAA projects 50.9 million Americans will journey 50 miles or more away from home this Thanksgiving; a 3.3 percent increase over last year.  The 2017 holiday weekend will see the most Thanksgiving travelers since 2005, with 1.6 million more people taking to the nation’s roads, skies, rails and waterways compared with last year.
 
Thanksgiving kicks off the start of what will likely become the busiest holiday season in more than a decade,” said Vicky Evans, Assistant Vice President, Travel Sales Development, AAA–The Auto Club Group.  “A Strong economy and labor market are generating rising incomes and higher consumer confidence.  These factors should help fuel consumer spending and generate a strong finish for the travel industry this year.”
 
The Thanksgiving holiday travel period is defined as Wednesday, Nov. 22 to Sunday, Nov. 26.
 
National Forecast:
 
Road Trippers:  89 percent of all travelers, or an estimated 45.5 million, are planning a Thanksgiving road trip; an increase of 1.6 million people (3.2%) over last year.  Drivers will pay the highest Thanksgiving  gas prices since 2014.
 
Fuller Skies/Lower Air Rates:  The largest growth in holiday travel is by air travel, up 5 percent from last year with 3.95 million flying to their destination.   This represents nearly 8 percent of all holiday travelers.  Consumers will pay the lowest average airfare since 2013.
 
Alternate Travel:  Travel by trains and other modes (including buses and cruise ships) is expected to increase 1.1 percent to 1.48 million travelers representing 3 percent of all holiday travelers.
 
Holiday High:  Car rental daily rates will hit a five-year holiday high at $70/day due to an increase in domestic demand and cost of newer vehicles. 
 
Travelers still hitting the road despite higher gas prices
 
Gas prices surged earlier this month largely due to strong consumer demand coupled with a reduction in processed fuel inventories.  In their latest weekly report released November 15, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that U.S. gasoline inventories are down more than 5 percent compared to last year.  Between November 1 and November 15, the national average rose nine cents a gallon climbing to $2.56 for regular unleaded.   
 
Fuel prices in Nebraska are following the national upward trend rising 18 cents a gallon during the past month, currently averaging $2.57 a gallon.   Compared to last year, when fuel averaged $2.11 in Nebraska, motorists traveling this holiday will pay an extra $6.90 to fill a 15-gallon tank.   A review of fuel prices (regular unleaded) for Nebraska’s neighboring states shows:
 
Iowa - $2.53
Missouri - $2.34
Kansas - $242
Colorado - $2.55
Wyoming - $2.54
South Dakota - $2.56
 
The national average on Thanksgiving Day in 2016 was $2.13 a gallon; $2.05 in 2015; and $2.80 in 2014. 

“AAA forecasts drivers will pay the highest Thanksgiving gas prices since 2014, thanks to strong demand and high oil prices,” said Mark Jenkins spokesman, AAA-The Auto Club Group.  “Although it will be more expensive to drive to Grandma’s house compared to recent years, the current price is not high enough to be a deterrent for travelers. “
 
To help motorists budget for their fuel costs for long-distance drive vacations, AAA offers the Fuel Cost Calculator tool on their website at http://gasprices.aaa.com.  This site also provides daily fuel price updates for all 50 states, along with industry news impacting pump prices.
 
330,000 Motorists Will Have Car Trouble
 
AAA expects to rescue more than 330,000 motorists this Thanksgiving weekend, with the primary reasons being lockouts, flat tires and battery-related issues.   AAA recommends motorists have their vehicles inspected by a trusted repair shop, such as one of the more than 7,000 AAA Approved Auto Repair facilities across North America.  Members can download the AAA Mobile app, visit AAA.com or call 1-800-AAA-HELP to request roadside assistance.
 
High and Lows: Car Rentals, Hotel Rates, and Airfares
 
According to AAA’s Leisure Travel Index:
Travelers taking to the skies will pay the lowest average in five years for a round-trip flight for the top 40 domestic routes.  At $157, on average, this represents a 23 percent fare drop year-over-year.

Travelers can expect to spend any ‘flight savings’ on car rentals.  At $70/day, the daily car rental average is 34 percent more than last year and the highest rate for the Thanksgiving weekend since 2013.
 
Travelers will pay more for AAA Three Diamond Rated hotels this holiday weekend.  The average price increased by 14 percent to $176/night.  Conversely, the average rate for a AAA Two Diamond Rated hotel has decreased 5 percent with an average nightly cost of $117.
 
Many travelers will seek theme-park and warm-weather destinations this Thanksgiving.  This year’s top 10 holiday destinations based on AAA.com bookings are: 
 
1.  Orlando, Florida                      6. Punta Cana, Dominican Republic
2.  Anaheim, California                 7. Cancun, Mexico
3.  New York City, New York          8. San Francisco, California
4.  Honolulu, Hawaii                     9. Kahului, Maui, Hawaii
5.  Las Vegas, Nevada                  10. Fort Lauderdale, Florida
 
Cruise Ships Return to Key Caribbean Ports
 
Just in time for the holidays, cruise ships will return to three of the most popular Caribbean cruise ports affected by Hurricanes Irma and Maria.  Sailings to St. Thomas and San Juan are resuming this month, while St. Maarten is scheduled to re-open in December.  According to the Cruise Lines International Association, 87 percent of the nearly 100 cruise ports in the Caribbean are open, including the one in Key West.
 
“This is great news for both the cruise passengers who love these destinations, and for the islands themselves which rely on tourism to support their local economies,” Evans commented.  “Being on a cruise ship may not seem like a traditional way to spend the holidays, but is actually very popular when you consider that the entire family can travel together, without worrying about the cooking and cleanup.”
 
Top 5 Busiest Airports for Car Rentals
According to Hertz, the busiest airport pick-up locations for travelers planning to rent a car this Thanksgiving are expected to be Orlando (MCO), Los Angeles (LAX), Miami (MIA), Las Vegas (LAS) and Fort Lauderdale (FLL).  The busiest day for rental pick-ups is expected to be Wednesday, Nov. 22, with an average rental length of nearly five full days, as travelers look to take advantage of the long holiday weekend.
 
Download the AAA Mobile app before a Thanksgiving getaway
Before setting out for the long Thanksgiving weekend, download the free AAA Mobile app for iPhone, iPad and Android.  Travelers can use the app to map a route, find the lowest gas prices, access exclusive member discounts, make travel arrangements, request AAA roadside assistance, find AAA Approved Auto Repair facilities and more.  Learn more at AAA.com/mobile.
 
With the AAA Mobile app, travelers can also find nearly 59,000 AAA Diamond Rated hotels and restaurants.  AAA’s is the only rating system that uses full-time, professionally trained evaluators to inspect each property on an annual basis.  Early AAA Inspected & Approved establishment offers the assurance of acceptable cleanliness, comfort and hospitality, and ratings of One to Five Diamonds help travelers find the right match for amenities and services.
 
About the AAA travel forecast:
AAA’s projections are based on economic forecasting and research by IHS Markit.  The London-based business information provider teamed with AAA in 2009 to jointly analyze travel trends during major holidays.  AAA has been reporting on holiday travel trends for more than two decades. 

As North America’s largest motoring and leisure travel organization, AAA provides nearly 58 million members with travel, insurance financial and automotive-related services.  Since its founding in 1902, the not-for-profit, fully tax-paying AAA has been a leader and advocate for the safety and security of all travelers.  Motorists can map a route, identify gas prices, find discounts, book a hotel and access AAA roadside assistance with the AAA Mobile app for iPhone, IPad and Android.  Learn more at AAA.com/mobile.  AAA clubs can be visited on the Internet at AAA.com  

Contact(s):

Rose White
phone: 402.938.3806

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